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adjustedCurves vs ESPHome

A side-by-side editorial comparison of adjustedCurves and ESPHome — release velocity, themes, recent moves, and the top alternatives to consider.

adjustedCurves vs ESPHome: at a glance

FeatureadjustedCurvesESPHome
SectorInfra & APIsInfra & APIs
Velocity score0.05.0
Sparks · 30d00
Top themessurvival-analysis, causal-inference, r-package, biostatisticshome-automation, firmware, beta-train, release-cadence
Last editorial update22h ago7h ago
WebsiteVisit →Visit →

What is adjustedCurves?

A survival curve package spending release after release correcting its own estimates

adjustedCurves computes confounder-adjusted survival and cumulative incidence curves across a range of estimators - IPTW, AIPTW, Aalen-Johansen, direct standardisation - with support for multiple imputation and bootstrapping. The recent releases are dominated by corrections to numbers the package already reported. Version 0.11.4 fixed cumulative incidence estimates under method="aalen_johansen" that were being read one time step early, which the maintainer notes could differ substantially when events are few, and added risk and event counts to the ggsurvplot conversion including correctly pooled values under multiple imputation.

Read the full adjustedCurves trajectory →

What is ESPHome?

ESPHome ships on a calendar, and the August beta train is now five builds deep

The 2026.8.0 beta line has reached its fifth build in six days. Every one of them is a version-bump merge commit with no release notes — b5 is 70 characters, and that is the entire record. The last entries with readable content are the 2026.7 patch releases, which is where per-component fixes and contributor work actually become visible.

Read the full ESPHome trajectory →

adjustedCurves vs ESPHome: editorial side-by-side

A
adjustedCurves
INFRA · APIS
0.0

A survival curve package spending release after release correcting its own estimates

◆ Current state

adjustedCurves computes confounder-adjusted survival and cumulative incidence curves across a range of estimators - IPTW, AIPTW, Aalen-Johansen, direct standardisation - with support for multiple imputation and bootstrapping. The recent releases are dominated by corrections to numbers the package already reported. Version 0.11.4 fixed cumulative incidence estimates under method="aalen_johansen" that were being read one time step early, which the maintainer notes could differ substantially when events are few, and added risk and event counts to the ggsurvplot conversion including correctly pooled values under multiple imputation.

◆ Where it's heading

Multiple imputation is the recurring fault line. The standard error pooling formula was implemented incorrectly until 0.11.2, then fixed again in 0.11.3 for the bootstrapping-plus-imputation combination, and 0.11.4 added the pooled risk table values that had previously been omitted entirely. A separate thread quietly removed capability: tmle and ostmle methods went in 0.10.0, and tmle support was pulled again in 0.11.1 after the concrete package left CRAN. Feature work does happen - risk tables, contrast arguments, the extend_to_last control on IPTW curves - but it is outweighed by correction.

◆ Prediction

Expect continued estimator-level corrections rather than new methods, and a possible return of tmle support if its upstream dependency returns to CRAN, since the removal was described as temporary.

E
ESPHome
INFRA · APIS
5.0

ESPHome ships on a calendar, and the August beta train is now five builds deep

◆ Current state

The 2026.8.0 beta line has reached its fifth build in six days. Every one of them is a version-bump merge commit with no release notes — b5 is 70 characters, and that is the entire record. The last entries with readable content are the 2026.7 patch releases, which is where per-component fixes and contributor work actually become visible.

◆ Where it's heading

The cadence is the product. Betas arrive every day or two as bump merges carrying no notes, the final release points at a changelog URL, and the real detail lands in the patch releases that follow it. Five betas in this cycle against four in the last suggests a slightly longer stabilization, but the feed gives no way to tell what is being stabilized. Anyone tracking ESPHome from this feed learns the release rhythm and nothing about the releases.

◆ Prediction

Expect 2026.8.0 final within days, followed by the 2026.8.x patch releases that will carry the first readable account of what the August cycle actually changed.

Alternatives to adjustedCurves and ESPHome

Other Infra & APIs products tracked by Sparkpulse, ranked by recent ship velocity. Each card links to a full editorial trajectory and lets you pivot into a head-to-head comparison with either adjustedCurves or ESPHome.

See all adjustedCurves alternatives → · See all ESPHome alternatives →

Recent activity from adjustedCurves and ESPHome

Latest ship moves from both products, interleaved chronologically. ⚡ = editorial spark.

  1. 17h agoESPHome2026.8.0 beta 5 tagged
  2. 2d agoESPHome2026.8.0 beta 4 tagged
  3. 5d agoESPHome2026.8.0 beta 3 tagged
  4. 6d agoESPHome2026.8.0 beta 2 tagged
  5. 7d agoESPHome2026.8.0 beta 1 opens the August cycle
  6. 13d agoESPHomeDevice adoption and API buffer fixes land in 2026.7.4
  7. 6mo agoadjustedCurvesOff-by-one-step error corrected in cumulative incidence estimates
  8. 1y agoadjustedCurvesIPTW curves can now extend to the last observed time
  9. 2y agoadjustedCurvesDropped arguments and a wrong multiple-imputation pooling formula
  10. 2y agoadjustedCurvesRisk tables, contrast consolidation and faster bootstrapping
  11. 3y agoadjustedCurvestmle and ostmle methods dropped
  12. 3y agoadjustedCurvesDependency compatibility and installation documentation

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between adjustedCurves and ESPHome?

They serve adjacent needs but don't currently overlap on shipped themes. ESPHome is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 5.0 vs 0.0), with 0 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. See the at-a-glance table above for a side-by-side breakdown of velocity, recent sparks, and editorial themes.

Is adjustedCurves better than ESPHome?

Sparkpulse doesn't pick a winner — we score release velocity, not feature parity. ESPHome is currently shipping more aggressively (velocity 5.0 vs 0.0), with 0 editorial sparks in the last 30 days against 0. For your specific use case, the alternatives sections above list other Infra & APIs products to evaluate alongside.

What are the best alternatives to adjustedCurves?

Top adjustedCurves alternatives in Infra & APIs are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "adjustedCurves alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/adjustedcurves for the full list with editorial commentary on each.

What are the best alternatives to ESPHome?

Top ESPHome alternatives in Infra & APIs are ranked by recent ship velocity. Browse the "ESPHome alternatives" section above for the current picks, or visit /alternatives/esphome for the full list with editorial commentary on each.